The latest Storm Tracker Forecast from meteorologist Kevin Appleby:
A cold front continues to sag to the south through the Capital Region Sunday evening. We’ve seen scattered rain and snow showers, particularly from the Mohawk Valley into the Adirondacks.
A gusty evening breeze will subside a bit overnight. Skies will clear once any leftover precipitation dissipates in the evening, with low temperatures dropping into the 20s.
Monday looks like a bright an sunny day…of course, getting a completely sunny day in November locally is a tough task. We’ll keep skies partly to mostly sunny.
Despite abundant sunshine, temperatures will struggle to reach the 40 degree mark with a light northerly wind providing a cool feel.
Tuesday starts out very chilly, with widespread temperatures in the teens. Winds will begin to shift out of the south ahead of a brewing storm system set to bring travel headaches Tuesday evening.
My advice for holiday travel – don’t leave Tuesday evening. Tuesday morning or Wednesday afternoon present better opportunities for maneuvering on the roadways.
I believe enough cold air will be in place at the onset of this storm Tuesday evening to support mostly snow, with perhaps some sleet mixing in. But the key factor with this storm will be just how quickly can a push of warm air via a southerly wind warm up our surface temperatures.
By Wednesday morning, I think most of us are dealing with a plain rain – a rain that could be steady at times. This storm will pull away from the area, and we should dry out Wednesday afternoon. Note that some wintry precipitation may linger Wednesday morning in the higher terrain of the Greens and Berkshires.
Temperatures will spike on Wednesday in the aftermath of this system, generally rising between 40 and 50 after a chillier Tuesday.
The good news is that both Thanksgiving and Black Friday look dry with a mix of sun and clouds and seasonably cool temperatures. Models are hinting at another disturbance next weekend, with discrepancies on timing. The better chance for rain or snow showers appears to be Saturday.
Beyond next weekend, it looks to be a generally cloudier period than anything else with below normal temperatures.